Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.002595 0.002768 0.002953 0.003169 0.003415 0.003688 0.004018
2024-12-29 0.002360 0.002599 0.002872 0.003212 0.003631 0.004142 0.004831
2025-01-05 0.002151 0.002418 0.002737 0.003152 0.003696 0.004410 0.005468
2025-01-12 0.001974 0.002251 0.002590 0.003047 0.003673 0.004543 0.005939
2025-01-19 0.001872 0.002163 0.002528 0.003037 0.003765 0.004837 0.006719
2025-01-26 0.001717 0.001995 0.002347 0.002845 0.003572 0.004673 0.006691
2025-02-02 0.001663 0.001952 0.002325 0.002868 0.003690 0.005003 0.007640
2025-02-09 0.001639 0.001944 0.002348 0.002954 0.003910 0.005544 0.009237
2025-02-16 0.001593 0.001905 0.002324 0.002967 0.004016 0.005904 0.010637
2025-02-23 0.001581 0.001910 0.002360 0.003072 0.004287 0.006644 0.013603
2025-03-02 0.001526 0.001852 0.002304 0.003027 0.004289 0.006836 0.015102
2025-03-09 0.001468 0.001788 0.002234 0.002954 0.004233 0.006889 0.016172
2025-03-16 0.001444 0.001772 0.002238 0.003010 0.004436 0.007630 0.021507
2025-03-23 0.001419 0.001755 0.002240 0.003062 0.004644 0.008483 0.030636
2025-03-30 0.001371 0.001702 0.002184 0.003011 0.004638 0.008764 0.037566
2025-04-06 0.001316 0.001637 0.002106 0.002916 0.004525 0.008703 0.041241
2025-04-13 0.001285 0.001606 0.002078 0.002907 0.004596 0.009240 0.059403
2025-04-20 0.001218 0.001519 0.001960 0.002729 0.004280 0.008432 0.046718
2025-04-27 0.001199 0.001503 0.001953 0.002750 0.004406 0.009148 0.078519
2025-05-04 0.001194 0.001507 0.001977 0.002830 0.004678 0.010551 0.401157
2025-05-11 0.001175 0.001489 0.001965 0.002842 0.004794 0.011453 NaN
2025-05-18 0.001174 0.001498 0.001997 0.002939 0.005141 0.013747 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001147 0.001466 0.001959 0.002897 0.005121 0.014171 NaN